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December 29, 2025

NVDA Intel Stake; Groq Deal; Data Center Ethernet

NVDA, INTC, GOOGL, AMZN, ANET

Nvidia (NVDA)

  • Strategic Agreements: Nvidia entered a $20 billion licensing deal with Groq (a chip designer) to acquire key executives and "deterministic processing" technology, which is more efficient for AI inference than standard GPUs.

  • Intel Investment: The company completed a $5 billion stake in Intel (initially announced in September 2025) to co-develop CPUs for data centers and PCs.

  • Market Dominance: Nvidia currently holds a 95% GPU market share.

  • Regulatory Risk: The deal with Groq was structured as a license rather than an acquisition to potentially avoid FTC scrutiny.

  • Networking Trends: Data centers are beginning to move toward Ethernet-based switching to reduce dependency on Nvidia’s proprietary InfiniBand technology.


Intel (INTC)

  • Corporate Turnaround: Under new CEO Lip Boutan, the stock surged 80% in 2025.

  • Nvidia Partnership: Intel received a $5 billion investment from Nvidia to co-develop CPUs.

  • 2026 Focus: Investors are monitoring whether the company can secure major external customers for its 18AP and 14A manufacturing processes.

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Nvidia (NVDA)

  • Strategic Agreements: Nvidia entered a $20 billion licensing deal with Groq (a chip designer) to acquire key executives and "deterministic processing" technology, which is more efficient for AI inference than standard GPUs.

  • Intel Investment: The company completed a $5 billion stake in Intel (initially announced in September 2025) to co-develop CPUs for data centers and PCs.

  • Market Dominance: Nvidia currently holds a 95% GPU market share.

  • Regulatory Risk: The deal with Groq was structured as a license rather than an acquisition to potentially avoid FTC scrutiny.

  • Networking Trends: Data centers are beginning to move toward Ethernet-based switching to reduce dependency on Nvidia’s proprietary InfiniBand technology.


Intel (INTC)

  • Corporate Turnaround: Under new CEO Lip Boutan, the stock surged 80% in 2025.

  • Nvidia Partnership: Intel received a $5 billion investment from Nvidia to co-develop CPUs.

  • 2026 Focus: Investors are monitoring whether the company can secure major external customers for its 18AP and 14A manufacturing processes.


Google (GOOGL)

  • AI Leadership: Identified as a top AI pick for 2026 due to the launch of Gemini 3.

  • Competitive Advantage: Maintains a search advantage against OpenAI.

  • Financial Health: As a legacy hyperscaler, Google maintains ample free cash flow to support high AI capital expenditure growth.


Amazon (AMZN)

  • Growth Outlook: Analysts forecast a 50% upside potential for the stock in 2026.

  • AWS Performance: Growth is re-accelerating at Amazon Web Services (AWS).

  • Operational Challenges: The company has halted drone delivery plans in Italy due to regulatory hurdles.

  • Financial Health: Retains significant free cash flow to sustain a projected 50% year-over-year growth in AI CapEx.


Arista Networks (ANET)

  • Architecture Shifts: Expected to benefit from "scale-up" architecture as data centers transition toward Ethernet-based switching.

  • Networking Growth: Part of a sub-sector projected to see 80% earnings growth in 2026.


Technology Sector News

  • Micron (MU): Highlighted as a key player as the AI cycle shifts focus toward memory requirements in data centers.

  • Coherent (COHR): A top pick in the optical transceiver space, benefiting from the industry transition from 800G to 3.2T equipment.

  • Groq: A chip designer valued at $20 billion; entered a major licensing deal with Nvidia.

  • Microsoft (MSFT): Noted as a legacy hyperscaler with ample free cash flow to sustain AI investment.

  • Oracle (ORCL) & Coreweave: Mentioned regarding analyst skepticism over the cash flow of "NeoClouds" and late-comers to the AI space.


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